Malaysia's inflation rate in March hits eight-year high

KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia’s consumer price inflation hit an eight-year high in March, but was slightly below the forecast in a Reuters poll and not expected to push the central bank to change its stance on monetary policy.
Annual inflation was 5.1% in March, the highest since touching 5.7% in November 2008.
In February, annual inflation was 4.5%. A Reuters poll forecast March inflation at 5.3%.
Inflation in March was driven by a low-base effect and higher retail fuel prices compared to a year earlier, according to a statement by the Statistics Department, which measures monthly inflation.
The March inflation rate is notably higher than the historical average of 3%, but it is unlikely to rattle Bank Negara Malaysia as global oil prices are expected to remain stable this year, according to UOB economist Julia Goh.
“My take is that it’s still cost-driven. Assuming oil prices remain fairly stable within the US$50 to US$55 (per barrel) region, inflation will taper off in the second half,” Goh said.
Bank Negara Malaysia said last month that inflation will likely average between 3% and 4% this year. It said headline inflation will be “relatively high” in the first half of 2017 on higher fuel prices, but expects it to dip in the second half. – Reuters