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POLL-Trump pulls statistically even with Biden in Florida; Arizona is a dead heat -Reuters/Ipsos

29 Oct 2020 / 04:13 H.

    By Jason Lange

    WASHINGTON, Oct 28 (Reuters) - President Donald Trump has pulled into a virtual tie with Democratic challenger Joe Biden in Florida, just a week after the former vice president held a narrow lead there, a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll showed on Wednesday.

    With less than a week to go before next Tuesday's election, a second Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that the two candidates remain neck and neck in Arizona.

    Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona - that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.

    Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters:

    FLORIDA (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27)

    * Voting for Biden: 49%

    * Voting for Trump: 47%

    * A prior poll had showed Biden with an apparent lead of 50%-46%, with the margin being on the edge of the poll's credibility interval.

    * 32% said they already had voted.

    * 48% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

    * 52% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 41% said Biden would be better.

    ARIZONA (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27):

    * Voting for Biden: 48%

    * Voting for Trump: 46%

    * The two are statistically tied as the margin is within the survey's credibility interval.

    * A prior poll also showed a statistically even race, with 49% for Biden and 46% for Trump.

    * 37% said they already had voted.

    * 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

    * 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 44% said Biden would be better.

    MICHIGAN (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27):

    * Voting for Biden: 52%

    * Voting for Trump: 43%

    * Biden was up 51%-44% the prior week.

    * 32% said they already had voted.

    * 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 39% said Trump would be better.

    * 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

    NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27):

    * Voting for Biden: 49%

    * Voting for Trump: 48%

    * Since the margin is within the poll's credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 49% to Trump's 46%.

    * 35% said they already had voted.

    * 48% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 44% said Trump would be better.

    * 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.

    WISCONSIN (Oct. 20 - Oct. 26):

    * Voting for Biden: 53%

    * Voting for Trump: 44%

    * Biden's advantage is marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week.

    * 33% said they already had voted.

    * 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.

    * 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 45% said Biden would be better.

    PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 20 - Oct. 26):

    * Voting for Biden: 50%

    * Voting for Trump: 45%

    * Biden's lead is marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49%-45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey's credibility interval.

    * 21% said they already had voted.

    * 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

    * 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy. 43% said Biden would be better.

    NOTES

    The Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls are conducted online in all six states in English, as well as in Spanish in Arizona and Florida.

    * In Florida, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,006 adults, including 704 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

    * In Arizona, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,007 adults, including 714 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

    * In Michigan, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,005 adults, including 652 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

    * In North Carolina, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,006 adults, including 647 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

    * In Wisconsin, from Oct. 20 to Oct. 26, it gathered responses from 1,008 adults, including 664 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

    * In Pennsylvania, from Oct. 20 to Oct. 26, it gathered responses from 1,001 adults, including 653 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

    (Reporting by Jason Lange; Additional reporting by Chris Kahn; Editing by Peter Cooney)

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